Tag Archives: pennsylvannia

Energy and Activism could Swing Pennsylvania To Trump and GOP in 2024

BY RICHARD K. MUNRO

RE EARLY VOTE ACTION SCOTT PRESLER

Home – Early Vote Action  

https://www.dailywire.com/news/activist-scott-presler-reveals-two-facts-that-make-him-think-trump-will-win-pennsylvania

SCOTT PRESLER IS a name that will be in my humble opinion historically important.  Most of the below are verified FACTS.  Some of course are just reports from people I know and news reports. 

 Of course, NOT ALL CAN BE KNOWN. 

But here are some names and facts. Most people have never heard of this. But it is on the basis of reports from the field as well as polls that we can make some judgment as to the state of the race between Harris and Trump in Pennsylvania a key swing state that Trump won in 2016 and lost in 2020.

THE NAME IS SCOTT PRESLER and he has been going up and down the state of Pennsylvania registering and getting people to send out mail-in or what was formerly known as absentee ballots. In Pennsylvania, you have 7 days left to register to vote. Deadline: October 21st. So we are coming down to the wire.

And do EARLY VOTING. His memes are all over x. https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1830242569919615354/photo/1

https://x.com/ScottPresler

You don’t have to wait for Election Day to cast your ballot in Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania has a form of early voting.

According to the Pennsylvania Department of State, every county in the commonwealth will be offering “over-the-counter” voting, the state’s closest thing to early voting, in the 2024 general election. This process is called mail ballot voting “on demand.” The party that banks as many votes as possible has an advantage. But still much voting will be in person on the day of the election.

STEPS:

#1 a voter requests a mail-in ballot IN PERSON at a county elections office.

#2 the voter completes it and signs it onsite

#3 the voter returns the ballot to a drop box all on the same trip (or mails it later).

What motives Scott Presler?

Presler is motivated by patriotism He is the son of a distinguished US Navy Captain.  Harris has lots of money but PRESLER and his people have smarts, youth and enthusiasm.    HE IS BIG ON X and his memes are going everywhere.

In 2024 he is concentrating in PENNSYLVANIA.  He has crisscrossed . the state.  It is fertile ground because

1) Fracking is very important in PENNSYLVANIA  people don’t trust Harris will let Fracking or Natural Gas alone.

2) strong religious communities

3) people are spooked by massive dropping off of quasi-legal Haitian immigrants (like in Springfield OHIO).  Local schools and hospitals are being overwhelmed. People are worried about uncontrolled unvetted illegal immigration seemingly without any controls or legal limits.

4) many people are hunters and have traditional values The idea of men participating in women’s sports and going into girl’s bathrooms is horrifying to many.  The concept of transgender surgery for prisoners or for MINORS without parental consent is alarming to many.   This is a sleeper issue but many parents I have talked to are disturbed by the idea of biological males participating in Girl’s and Women’s sports. Many ordinary citizens are disturbed by the notion of biological males going into the private spaces of girls and women.

5) People see crime and homelessness spreading. I heard a speech by a lifelong Democrat a Hispanic woman who was terrified by Venezuelan gangs and forced to abandon her apartment and many of her personal possessions in the dead of the night.  The police did not respond.  A few neighbors helped her find her way out with a few things. She was terrified and feared for her life.   She was adamant that the only hope was VOTE FOR TRUMP. The mainstream media downplayed the incident as insignificant.

The top issues are the ECONOMY,  CRIME, IMMIGRATION and to a much lesser extent ABORTION.  In the Senate race Casey has shifted his position on abortion. He once described himself as a “pro-life Democrat,” and voted in 2018 to ban abortion after 20 weeks.But Casey criticized the overturning of Roe v. Wade for putting women’s lives at risk. And he’s since supported codifying abortion rights.

Meanwhile,  his GOP opponent McCormick calls himself “pro-life,” BUT has said said he supports exceptions for rape, incest and when the mother’s life is in danger. The bottom line is abortion is legal in Pennsylvania Pregnancies can be ended in the commonwealth up to 24 weeks gestation, a deadline tied to the concept of viability that was introduced in 1973’s Roe v. Wade. Abortions can be performed after that cutoff if a pregnant person’s life or health is in danger.

Some of Pennsylvania’s abortion restrictions stem from Planned Parenthood v. Casey, a landmark U.S. Supreme Court decision related to a law Pennsylvania passed in 1982.

The law imposed the parental consent requirement for minors to get abortions, the 24-hour waiting period, and a requirement that people seeking abortions get parental consent. After the law was challenged on the basis that it ran afoul of Roe, the parental consent provision was overturned. I could be wrong but I don’t think abortion is a top issue in Pennsylvania.

Trump himself has moderated his views on abortion and his wife Melania has called herself pro-choice in a recent memoir.

Some people probably remember Florida flipped from Blue to deep Red in 2020 and a lot of that is due to SCOTT PRESLER and his band.  In 2022 Pressler helped flip NY State congressional districts to the GOP (which gave them a narrow majority in the House.)

PRESLER’S group is targeting people who have NEVER REGISTERED TO VOTE (such as rural hunters, the AMISH,  young students.)   Some people are switching to GOP from democrat, but many are registering for the first times. 30% of all hunters in Pennsylvania were never registered.  He went to a gun show with his people and registered 500 new voters a day.   He is going to Amish communities and has almost 100% support for Trump.  Most have never voted before.

FACT: there are 80,000 Amish in Pennsylvania, about 80,000 in Ohio , about 60,000 in Indiana and about 40,000 in Wisconsin. Most are related in some way.   

In many counties in Pennsylvania the number or registered republicans has now surpassed the number or registered Democrats.   In 2016 there were almost 900,000 more registered Democrats in the state than Republicans.  Now the advantage or registered voters is down to 300,000 (and reportedly dropping weekly).

The enthusiasm for Trump in Pennsylvania is amazing.  At Butler (where there was the first assassination attempt people came from all over the state.   Reports were that there were between 50,000 and 100,000 people in attendance. Elon Musk was there and was encouraging people to register to vote vote and reportedly PRESLER and his people got many never before registered people to pledge for Trump many were young,  many were Hispanic many were over 65! (and had never voted).

Of course,  there are many hardcore TRUMP haters.  There are the Never Trumpers.

Polls however show Trump is doing well with HISPANIC MALES and WHITE MALES but less well with WOMEN and young people. In states with large Hispanic working-class populations  ARIZONA and NEVADA  Trump seems to be leading but they are virtually tied, such as NORTH CAROLINIA, MICHIGAN, and WISCONSIN.

But I think Pennsylvania will go for Trump.    

Scott Presler has made the difference in many counties in Florida.  

 It is hard to believe in 2000 the Democrats had a 1 million advantage over the GOP and this state went for Bush by  537 votes  Essentially the military vote made the different then.  But now  the GOP has over 1 million advantage in Florida and is a solid GOP state.  (it helped that DeSantis is very competent Governor)

There are so many unknowns in politics.  Surprises and big events could occur.   We are getting down to the end.

I know many friends and family members are pressing me to vote for Harris.  I just couldn’t do it.

I couldn’t get myself to vote for Trump either to tell the truth but in California, it doesn’t matter.   I don’t know, honestly, what I would do if I were living in a swing state.

The GREEN PARTY is on the ballot in all 50 States (RFK jr has withdrawn in most places). Some disillusioned independents who would have voted for RFK jr. probably will vote for the Green Party.

 We will watch if that makes a difference. THEY SAY IT MADE A DIFFERENCE in 2000 and 2016. There are rumors that Arab Americans are going to vote green in Michigan to protest “Genocide” Joe and Harris.   Harris had a private meeting with Arab leaders.  She is trying to keep her Pro-Palestinian Arab base and the Jewish vote. I think that is an impossible challenge. But who knows?

I do know this, however.

IF  Harris loses Pennsylvania ARIZONA, GEORGIA NEVADA she will be in bad shape.  

OF course the election is also about GOP majority in Senate and House also.  If Harris wins but DEMS lost in House and Senate she will be checkmated.

It will all come down to TURNOUT and enthusiasm.  Not all can be known and in a few weeks, these lines will be just an historical document of an opinion made on October 15, 2024. But I do believe that the efforts of Scott Presler and his band will make a difference. It will either be razor-thin or a solid victory for the GOP.