Tag Archives: Motorcycling

Salmo Mt. Lookout

It was a late PNW September, and I was driving into the Salmo-Priest Wilderness. The plan was to get to this remote lookout tower at an altitude of over 6,000 ft. It stood out as an intriguing station at the intersection of Washington, Idaho, and the Canadian wilderness. The path leading to the tower was rated “white-knuckle” grade by this book on Washington’s Wild Roads. Such climbs typically lead to exquisite views, so this one caught my curiosity. The GPS was a bit lost, so I relied on a traditional map and Forest Road markers to identify the last segment of the climb.

Entrance to this last leg was flanked by overgrown shrubs. Even though less trodden, the road itself looked navigable. But a few miles into it, I encountered that familiar feeling of the vehicle slipping sideways. The road was quite weathered, because even a Wrangler with high clearance and 35-inch tires was losing traction. The first few seconds were disconcerting. An accident on a remote stretch could quickly become serious. But once 4WD was engaged, it was smooth sailing. Reaching the top, the Jeep and I were greeted with some chilling hail and snow. This was definitely among those exquisite PNW moments.

Often, the approach is to explore relatively risky back roads in the Jeep before attempting them on a motorcycle. But in hindsight, this particular road felt unsafe even on a capable machine like a Wrangler. In fact, even moderately rugged forest roads could be more dangerous than extremely difficult 4×4 trails. When nature remolds terrain, it does so in unexpected ways. Dedicated 4×4 trails are carefully maintained, and the risk is more predictable. But working through this uncertainty led to something unique and vivid.

Standing at that altitude, in near-freezing temperatures, and with both international and state boundaries on the horizon, it was silence and splendid views all around. I finally climbed back into the Jeep, only to hear the rumbling of the hail landing on the windshield. With a backdrop of dusky autumn hues, catching some Black Sabbath on the trusty satellite radio made all this even better.

Several critical decisions in our lives are based on instinctive judgments; we might rationalize them later, but life is too complex for purely logical choices. For example, the risky climb along an unkempt road was based on instinctive assessment. We have a visceral drive for exploration – whether it’s in the sphere of ideas, back-country landscapes, or anything else. This includes exploration through study as well. My decision to read F. A. Hayek wasn’t based on a detailed assessment but on the same visceral drive.

When something makes sense without a clear articulation of why, it means the mind cannot fully model the situation. Even though it’s not fully understood, the situation is coherent enough to justify further exploration. The outcome of that exploration becomes feedback to the mental model. The next time a similar situation is encountered, the picture will be clearer. From this perspective, exploration is an evolutionary instinct. Those who expanded their horizons – physical or mental – simply acquired more tools for adaptation.

Going back to motorcycling, but this time it was in the Sierra Nevada wilderness. It was that same visceral drive for exploration that motivated a ride up this narrow, single-lane road. That led to a cliff-adjacent winding road through the High Sierra Mountains – from there into a picturesque memory of motorcycling at 10,000 ft. Like riding up that single-lane into the unknown, a persistent study of F.A. Hayek provided new insights. His explanations expanded my own mental models. This exploratory mode is unavoidable because new situations are a recurring feature of life. Overcoming that uncertainty demands making instinctive choices and learning from the feedback to discover a fully articulated reason.

Republished at ridersmodel.com

Americana, the Reich and Motorcycle parts

Recently, I had to replace the motorcycle tires, as they were well past their tread life. These off-road Duro tires are made in Taiwan; in fact, they are commonly used on the lesser-known Russian Ural motorcycles. These tires are known to be puncture-resistant — more significantly, they look pretty good on a Triumph. My side mirrors are from CRG, handlebars from British Customs, and engine/crash guard from SW-MOTECH. All this illustrates freedom of choice.

Making choices for customizing motorcycles is not so different from general life decisions. We select vendors and parts that are ideal for our purposes and aesthetic preferences. Just as we pick our grocery stores, restaurants, or investment plans. We build life and systems around us based on our preferences; those who make better decisions build better systems. That freedom deserves a bit of appreciation.

Last week I was watching this TV series called “The Man in the High Castle”. It details an alternate reality in which the Axis powers won the war. And the US is split in half between the Reich and Imperial Japan. The series also introduces the concept of a multiverse — a set of parallel realities with different outcomes. In some universes, the Axis powers rule; in others, it’s the Allied forces. In the story, Nazis in one universe realize this and decide to build a machine to travel to alternate realities, obviously to conquer them! More than scary, it felt foolhardy.

Even if by some random stroke of luck, Hitler had won the war in a universe, it’s highly unlikely they could hold a candle to the Allied forces from a parallel universe. So, one of the most likely outcomes of such an invasion would be going head-to-head with a more efficient alternate universe — not because of morality or divine verdicts, but simply because of basic science and their ability to make productive choices.

German Reich is forced to make decisions based on criteria that do not prioritize efficiency, while Americans make decisions to build productive systems. While Reich must live within the constraints of their ideology, Americans have incentives to make choices that deliver results. Nazis artificially limit their resource pool, while Americans allow winners to emerge from anywhere. Such systems can produce exceptional results simply because they are not structurally constrained. Over time, it allows the best ideas to emerge and inefficient practices to be discarded; this selection process eventually benefits the group. So, one way to evaluate legislation is by its impact on broadening available options; that may indicate whether it’s closer to the Reich or to Americana.

One of the scenes in the series also involves the Reich attempting to copy tech from the alternate universes. Even here, there is a loss of context, stemming from the structure of the available options within the system. The utility of ideas is embedded in the systems where they emerge and operate. Their maximum utilization, maintenance, and evolution demand a complementary ecosystem. When taken into a new context without the presence of dependent assumptions, the power of these same ideas will diminish. Examples of dependent assumptions include the human capital – the inventor, maintainer, engineer who handles the tech; the material capital which supports safe usage and execution; the laws, institutions, and systemic processes which enable all this. Basically, ideas applied out of context fail because of the basic principles of science. Essentially, the Reich stealing hydrogen bombs will likely nuke themselves, because they are artificially restricted from making safe, rational decisions.

Another conceivable possibility is that the Reich successfully adapted borrowed ideas into their own context. Assuming the ideas remain as effective in this new environment, they have at best achieved short-term parity with the Americans. But such a transient unearned parity will soon be lost without the original process that enabled its creation – the ability to make open-ended choices. Those decisions determine not just system capabilities and outcomes, but even their evolutionary trajectory.

Freedom of choice enables uniquely creative contextual adaptations to emerge. This happens within all layers of the system. Building motorcycles is a localized instance within a broader social and technological framework. These on-demand adaptations involve a process of reasoning, implicit and explicit assumptions, and the broader context in which they are executed. Successful creation, execution, and maintenance require a favorable environment. We can safely say — an idea, its manifestation, and the surrounding environment evolve together in lockstep. So, someone borrowing an idea from one context into another will usually learn the hard way. It’s not karma — it’s simply the reality of system constraints. There is also a historical context for these individual freedoms, the impartial strand of jurisprudence that thrived in England.

Republished at ridersmodel.com

Defying Gravity

After couple of years of pandemic, 2022 was probably the year of transitioning back to normalcy. But, that brings its own changes, and I had to move back to California from PNW. We read a lot about California exodus, that people keep leaving the State, so it felt a bit like I was defying gravity. More than that, the sheer exercise of packing up everything and moving over a weekend was akin to defying the odds and gravity.

My possessions are minimal, and including the motorcycle everything fits well within half of a 15ft truck. But, no vendor except U-Haul would allow me to tow a 4DR lifted jeep using a 15ft truck. Looks like I might be in the minority, and there’s only a small market of 4DR Jeep owners with minimal material possessions to haul!

Even for someone in such a minority situation, market provided an option. Not because U-Haul is charitable to Jeep owners, but because they simply wanted to maximize utility of their equipment. They want to be inclusive because there is a market incentive; it’s like that same American institutional reconciling gene. Private firms also attempt to solve problems by reconciling diverse requirements, while also remaining sustainable.

U-Hauling 1000 miles while towing the Jeep was uneventful. But Northern California provided a rather chilling welcome, and please note this was mid-April weather! But, thankfully that was the last of the snow I saw for rest of the year. Summer and early fall was about motorcycling the Sierras, a totally different experience relative to Pacific Northwest! Colors and the layering of those expansive vistas were just different. Can bring tears into even the most hardened eyes.

Most of the decisions we take in life are based on instinct, we might rationalize them, but life is too complex for purely data driven choices. For example — even though there were other reasons it was pure instinct which eventually prompted me to move back to the Golden State. In general its instinct which motivates us to explore, that exploration could be in the sphere of ideas or back-country landscapes or anything else we might wish. Its instinct which made me study Friedrich von Hayek and his friends, or made me explore heavy metal.

It’s also instinct which made me ride up this narrow single lane, and cliff adjacent winding path going up High Sierra Mountains. But that pure instinct gifted me the experience of motorcycling at 9000 ft. Similarly, studying the works of Prof. Hayek gifted me an understanding of the world. We can apply this instinctive mode to a lot of critical decisions we make in our life. So, even though we have become more civilized, in a way we are still a lot like our cavemen ancestors, because it’s still our visceral choices which rule our life trajectories.

Nameless riders and Supreme Court Justice

Few months ago I went riding to Eastern Washington, then just hopped over to Idaho and Montana for a full day exploration. Did this loop via Hwy2 – Troy – Bull Lake and finally back to Washington via HWY200/2. Needless to say, Montana is gorgeous! Had stopped more than a few times for breathtaking views and also for fuel. Basically exquisite views to fuel the weary senses and Chevron to fuel the motorcycle. Like a lot of other journeys, this also involved riding through stretches of rustic towns. Even though the area was novel to me, for the curious onlookers at the gas stations I was just another motorcyclist! Just another nameless rider, even though looking jaded from journey, exhibiting frequent unexplained bursts of enthusiasm to navigate those winding roads, often at uncomfortable speeds!

Might sound romantic, but unlike traveling in a car or truck, there is a degree of anonymity to motorcycling. Doesn’t matter where you live or what you do, during those long journeys your identity turns into that of a rider! It’s sort of like the famous veil of ignorance, the unique life circumstances of a motorcyclist hidden beneath all that protective gear! There is also a degree of comfort in that anonymity. It’s like you’re admired or derided or just ignored purely for your riding, not for other incoherent factors. There is a justice in that objective evaluation.

As usual, to paraphrase Prof. Hayek, man sort of became civilized when we invented such an unbiased evaluation based on rule of law, instead of rule of status — like class, occupation, ethnicity, race, tribe etc. But, our primitive instincts constantly surface in most ironic ways. More recently, in spite of my best efforts to avoid news, I couldn’t escape the recent Supreme Court justice appointment. As usual, even with of all her individual accomplishments, headlines were constantly celebrating Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson’s characteristic which is an accident of birth!

Reconciling Gene

A few months ago, I went riding in Eastern Washington, then just hopped over to Idaho and Montana for a full day exploration. I did this loop via Hwy 2 – Troy – Bull Lake, and finally back to Washington via Hwy 200/2. Needless to say, Montana is gorgeous. Had stopped more than a few times for breathtaking views and fuel. Exquisite views to fuel the weary senses and Chevron for the motorcycle. Like many other journeys, this also involved riding through stretches of rustic towns. Even though the area was novel to me, I was just another motorcyclist for the curious onlookers at the gas stations! Just another nameless rider, looking jaded from the journey, but still exhibiting frequent unexplained bursts of enthusiasm to navigate those winding roads, often at uncomfortable speeds.

Unlike cars, there is a degree of anonymity to motorcycles – a real yet romantic anonymity. It doesn’t matter where you live or what you do; during those long journeys, your identity turns into that of a rider. It’s sort of like John Rawls’ famous veil of ignorance, the unique life circumstances of a motorcyclist hidden beneath the protective gear. There is also a degree of comfort in that anonymity. It’s like you’re admired or derided or just ignored, mostly for your riding, and maybe a bit for the riding gear, but not for other factors like class, ethnicity, etc. There is a relative sense of justice in that evaluation. The essence of such an objective evaluation has larger consequences when it’s institutionalized.

The two main motivations for the larger inquiry in this essay are lived experience and curiosity. Together, they led to analytical hymns of motorcycling woven into several things uniquely American. My dad and great-grandfather also rode motorcycles, so that obsession I’d attribute to inherited tendencies. But curiosity about Americana and, in general, Western civilization is acquired. That curiosity led to a cross-disciplinary inquiry involving history, economics, sociology, and philosophy. This helped connect all the relevant theories and causes for prosperity into a coherent system of ideas. One such identified critical cause of that prosperity is the objective evaluation of individuals.

If it isn’t already obvious, most parts of the world are in a constant state of tension. It varies in degree, but people are, in general, deadlocked in various forms of bickering. Often, these inter-group disputes are hundreds of years old and may even have been inflicted by unknown individuals. Generations are continually born into baggage and their minds shaped by these artifacts of the past. Without reconciling these disputes, there is no peace or path to prosperity. Even if someone manages a truce, it is often fleeting, and the mischief inevitably reemerges.

Thanks to some fortunate accidents in history, the reconciling cultural strand from England survived, and often thrived. From common law jurisprudence and related institutions to its more evolved American Federalism, for hundreds of years, there has been a recurring theme of attempting to reconcile divergent views. This framework is designed to resolve disputes without taking sides or enforcing collective goals. An exceptionally strong 1st Amendment right is a perfect illustration of this tendency. Even when many countries emulated Constitutionalism and its surrounding institutions, they often adopted a variant devoid of that impartial reconciliatory strand.

Impartial justice demands applying the law to factual circumstances, without being unduly biased by broader historical context. Consistent application of this impartial principle to disputes leads to harmony – it shapes social processes where peaceful coexistence becomes the path of least resistance. Strong protection of free speech did not change human nature, but it created conditions where peaceful persuasion was the path of least resistance. Societies burdened by historical baggage will find this harder to execute. To paraphrase F. A. Hayek, civilization advanced when we invented an unbiased justice based on the rule of law, rather than the rule of status derived from historical context like class, occupation, ethnicity, race, tribe, etc.

Not just in individual dispute resolution, peace through reconciliation is evident in all the functioning layers of the English political system. Whether it’s reconciling the majority views with minority opinions, the legislature with the judiciary, pure democracy with Constitutional law, or states’ rights with Federal government — English tradition constantly steered towards that simple goal of reconciliation.

The process evolved over a few centuries, from reconciling the goals of nobles with those of royalty through Magna Carta, to a sophisticated adaptive common law jurisprudence. Consistently reinforcing an institutional pattern of conflict resolution through trade-offs – justice through discovering the acceptable social truth and norms. These institutions evolved in lockstep with larger society and culture, so the specifics changed across time, but the goal of peace through reconciliation remained.

But the mere goal of peaceful coexistence led to lofty outcomes of stability and prosperity. This happened because peace allowed channeling individual energies to higher goals. In short, while simple goals lead to elevated outcomes, numerous political systems striving for explicitly high ideals often collapse into disarray. So, for the next Thanksgiving, we have one more idea to be thankful for — the rarely acknowledged reconciling institutional strand. One critical consequence of impartial rule of law, peace, and general freedom is entrepreneurship – the driver of social architecture through inventions.

Republished at ridersmodel.com

Listen, and then Ride

Pictures can bring back vivid and specific memories, and the same can happen when listening to music – for that matter, any sensory input can trigger this. Spend enough years listening to heavy metal, and overlap those same years with motorcycle riding, and the odds of them converging increase. Certain riffs have now become time machines to relive specific motorcycling experiences.

Listening to the opening riffs of Opeth’s Bleak rewinds to that 2:00 AM lonely highway ride, to this small college town to see them live. Jazz-fusion-like bass lines in Beyond Creation’s Surface’s Echoes bring back late autumn rides and glimpses of Olympic Peninsula sunsets. Deafheaven’s Honeycomb recreates early summers spent exploring the backroads and forts around Port Townsend. Frankly, it’s not an exhaustive list; somehow, these experiences got overlaid in memory. One begets the other. But this is not intentional, and it doesn’t happen all the time.

Often, such recurring patterns motivate the study of the underlying causes. In the past, we were satisfied with merely discovering that correlation. Just like how animals keep returning to a spot where they got food, but without knowing the underlying reason. Similarly, primitive men were satisfied with different degrees of correlation. For example, natural medicines associate certain herbs with symptoms and cures, or certain actions like freezing food or using spices as preservation mechanisms. But they never investigate the structural properties of herbs or the underlying mechanisms causing that effect.

The modern scientific mentality was not satisfied with those mere correlations. It sought to discover causes, theorize, and apply those mechanisms in multiple diverse contexts. For instance, insights from discovering the causal mechanism for overlapping memories may lead to other insights. An understanding of the underlying structure that causes this may lead to new theories — how certain neural pathways can be intentionally activated. That may have unrelated applications, such as motivational tools or strategies for mitigating depression. Transforming it into a generic theory that finds relevance in diverse psychological contexts.

If we abstract further, then the concurrent activation of neural signals may have applications in computing circuit designs. The logic embedded in such circuits is driven by changes in their internal state triggered by external stimuli, similar to how the mind itself operates. If we abstract further, a neural layout may provide inputs to design efficient factory workflows. They both process input stimuli through a series of dependent steps to produce an output.

Eventually, a complex system will have encapsulated layers and substructures. Studying and isolating those structures generates abstract, reusable information. In short, if we iteratively examine and identify an intelligible structure in overlapping memories, then its utility might extend beyond motorcycling metalheads. To paraphrase Louis Rougier, it’s a mentality that moves from specific to the abstract.

“Rising from the concrete to the abstract, Greek geometry disengaged the intelligible essence from the particular observable details, or accidents, as such particulars were later to be called. In this it exercised the proper function of intelligence: the faculty of abstracting, of grasping the unity of a concept in a number of particular cases, the constancy of relationships and permanence of structures amid the diversity of sensible patterns; in a word, finding unity in multiplicity and harmony in discord. With the Greek language was born the language of abstraction.”— Louis Rougier

That Greek language of abstraction can be applied across disciplines and structural layers – from theoretical psychology to institutional economics. That means, the same process scales beyond individual reasoning into the design of institutions themselves. For instance, moving from specific rules to the abstract Rule of Law illustrates the same concept. Instead of directing everyone to specific duties, we created laws that satisfied certain properties, leading to an efficient social order. An obvious example would be — the vehicles on the road are never directed to destinations, instead the expectation is to just follow the rules of the road. We basically abstracted the essence of efficient navigation into the impersonal Rule of Law.

Movement from Magna Carta to American federalism is sort of that steady evolution from specific to the abstract. In fact, Federalism adds one more layer to that dispersed rule-of-law framework. Sort of a higher-level instrument to institutionalize the development of good laws. An attempt to automate the generation of efficient laws itself. As James Madison explained, all the checks and balances should lead to good legislation. The results of this experiment can be debated, but there is an interesting scientific argument for an approach like Federalism. We can see parallels to that in modern scientific methods.

In fact, Federalism is structurally very similar to scientific frameworks such as ISO 21434, ISO 26262, etc. Just as in Federalism, these standards enforce internal consistency of information against a set of goals by subjecting the system to diverse external pressures. The V-model refines engineering details, while federalism refines legislation. ISO26262 may have a narrow goal, but it still does not dictate the nature of the vehicle to be engineered; following it just enforces systemic consistency of whatever the engineers want to design. Federalism has a relatively more open-ended goal and, as a result, introduces greater personnel and role dependencies in the outcome. But they are both structured approaches to stress test epistemological foundations. They both abstracted the properties of the process of reasoning that leads to truth, then designed an impersonal framework to enforce it.

Instinctive exploration and abstraction enable the development of reusable cognitive tools and functions. They allow the development of higher-level mental models to deduce meaningful information from complex life experiences. But improving their explanatory power requires repeated application in real-world encounters, followed by refinement through feedback. This process is illustrated in the next chapter.

Republished at ridersmodel.com

Motorcycling at 105° F and space race

It has been almost a month since it rained, so it feels like the Pacific Northwest is going through a serious drought. Quite sure the Seattle natives are reminded of that arid 2017 summer — the region endured two full months without rain. To make matters worse, last month had a heat wave weekend. I know exactly where I was when Seattle broke temperature records – on a motorcycle, right outside the city, on the scorching I5 tarmac. Can confirm it takes at least 2 days to recover from moderate dehydration.

Less rain also translates to more riding on the weekends. It’s sort of comforting to know we have that choice to work, make a living, and invest our spare time as we wish. Even if it’s something extreme like motorcycling at 105° F. The investment in motorcycling is my choice while also working within the reality of various personal constraints. Drawing an extreme parallel, the private sector space race can also be considered an adventure driven by entrepreneurial choices. Both belong to the same class of problem, differing only in degree. Enduring the 105°F I-5 furnace or launching ourselves to space are both choices that divert valuable resources from alternate uses.

A critique of prioritization in most cases will defy the first principles of the relatively successful market system we have. In fact, a comprehension of the market system will make us realize it’s a machine to discover and reconcile emergent priorities. That goal is necessary because prioritization is unknown. Costs are a critical input to prioritization; they are unknown as well. Hence, imposing unaligned external goals will disrupt internal consistency.

To share a larger perspective — this choice to work and earn a living, at the standards we see in the Western world, is a luxury and unprecedented in human history. Even now in several parts of the world, an individual does not have that option. But unlike the past, material poverty shouldn’t be immediately considered the default state. Even when it’s a consequence of various historical accidents stemming from pre-market social orders of strife and plunder, attempts can still be made to address it through institutional changes.

Eventually, every choice can be voluntary or involuntary. Someone remaining in poverty for personal or religious reasons is voluntary. Some belief systems just promote simple living. The unfortunate involuntary state is the one that needs explanation – situations in which the individuals are explicitly constrained. They manifest in several forms, but all their incarnations come down to restrictions on the use of life and property. Systems built on such restrictions tend to inhibit adaptations that lead to wealth creation. This is discovered through trial-and-error hindsight, yet it provides a coherent explanation.

Institutional frameworks that allowed prosperity to emerge were never engineered for this goal. Instead, they were meant to simply protect property and life. But that simple goal introduced a motivational strand encouraging voluntary exchanges. Now transactions create mutual value; it is no longer a life of zero-sum or negative-sum exchanges anymore. The goal was the protection of the universal right to property, but the unintended consequence was prosperity. General system architecture and its internal dynamics are the reasons for this outcome.

Architecture determines the arrangement of various building blocks in the system, and this in turn shapes information flows. Rapid adaptation depends on efficient flows – just like how signal integrity between sensory neurons and the spinal cord determines our reflex time. At the most granular level, if sensory neurons weren’t built for efficient response to stimuli, then reflexes wouldn’t function as expected. Generalizing this — if all the building blocks do not play their role efficiently, then the organism suffers.

Individuals are the building blocks in a social order, and freedom with property rights provides the incentives to voluntarily respond to external needs. Rewarding ownership is the ideal approach to incentivizing the use of resources to solve a problem. This includes cognitive resources as well. That means, in the long term, self-interest tends to maximize employment of individual effort. Also, based on the general goals of a social order, psychological implications of ownership always beat something like a top-down command-style design. To emphasize, when the general goal is internal coordination of building blocks, a system will need multidirectional information flows. This information-based order requires individuals to be motivated to efficiently process and respond to external stimuli.

The need for multidirectional flows and why prosperity cannot be engineered are related. Specifications for general prosperity, or the specs of various available building blocks, aren’t known to any one person or group. In other words, no one knows what everyone wants, nor the optimal way to achieve it. So, this demands a trial-and-error discovery process. The system is expected to adapt to emerging dispersed needs by reorganizing itself in optimal ways.

A simplified view of this multidirectional flow would be top-down information reconciled with bottom-up data — top-down provides dispersed consumer needs, and bottom-up signals the available building blocks and possible arrangements of those blocks. Friedrich Hayek famously said, “It is a problem of the utilization of knowledge which is not given to anyone in its totality.” For example, consider a top-down need for a motorcycle spare part; the bottom-up information to be discovered is the economically viable fabrication model for such a part.

Most things can be engineered in several different ways, so entrepreneurial motivations are expected to discover this information and align it with top-down demands. If a spare part is not viable within the price constraints, then the top-down spec will need to be revisited. It’s a constantly running process of adjustment to the best-known means and arrangements possible. Discovering this information is expensive, and property ownership and profit are integral motivational factors for keeping this process alive. To summarize, the system exists to reconcile dispersed needs with dispersed options to satisfy those needs. A continuous multidirectional information flow is needed to discover this alignment across time.

This means both consumers and entrepreneurs have the autonomy to make choices. Facing the consequences of their own choices, both good and bad, is the price everyone pays. This also means the system can generate decisions that may not align with the majority, because that, on its own, is not the criterion for the choice calculus involved.

In fact, both consumers and entrepreneurs can make unpopular choices. For example, the majority of consumers may not enjoy motorcycling, but that does not stop entrepreneurs from selling to the minority. The same applies to space exploration – common pushbacks include: Why go to space when we don’t have universal healthcare, or we still have hunger, or when there isn’t world peace yet. But if everything were decided through popularity votes, Nikola Tesla would have found it difficult to invent and establish AC current, Benz would have found it difficult to design automobiles, and, for that matter, anyone attempting something not perceived as valuable by 50% of the population would have found it difficult.

Consumer choices are typically attributed to personal decisions, but entrepreneurial choices can sometimes roil the masses. An effective critique of entrepreneurs would analyze the incentives that caused this unacceptable choice. For example, a subsidy for space exploration or a tax write-off for space travel R&D are possible variables that were factored into this private sector space race. Such an analysis is more scientific – it accounts for the rules and constraints of the system, provides visibility into actual trade-offs, and, more importantly, it might just improve consistency of the framework. Eventually, preservation of this system also demands cultural support and a compatible institutional order.

Republished at ridersmodel.com

Pure Americana

I was on another ferry ride to the San Juan Islands, that last frontier before Alaska. In fact, at various points on those islands, we can gaze at the Canadian shores across the water. Most of my previous rides were during the colder months of autumn and spring, so I was almost always the lone motorcyclist on the ferry. This time it was a summer group ride, and there were several other unknown motorcyclists waiting at the terminal for the ferry back to Anacortes.

Among those riders was this older gentleman riding a 500cc Royal Enfield. The signature classic look and that inimitable thump, even though muffled by the newer pipes, were instantly discernible. I walked over to him and mentioned how much I had enjoyed touring on these motorcycles, but of course, it was over a decade ago, and it was also the older 350cc variant. Interestingly, he knew exactly what I was talking about. Even though a Westerner, he has evidently been living in Nepal for a while and has done extensive touring of the Indian subcontinent. The more I spoke with him, the more I realized how well-versed he was about the machine’s quirks, subcontinent geography, and the motorcycle culture there.

Just to put all this in perspective – my conversation is with an American several generations older than me, riding a 100-year-old motorcycle brand originally invented in Britain, now Indian-engineered and exported to the US. While I am on a British-designed Triumph, which was most likely manufactured in Thailand. We are having this impromptu talk at a ferry terminal, in a corner so distant from England, Thailand, or India. Even in our near past, the possibility of this happening would have been low. But not anymore, it seems like both humans and the products we engineer travel the world.

Even though the conversation itself wasn’t about the US, this situation might just be another silent illustration of the American global role. It might sound like a leap, but we are in a more cohesive, connected world because of the early American Federalists. That causal chain from the formation of an experimental republic to the current world is long, tortuous, and involves several complex factors. But, beneath all the layers, the prototype for globalized order emerged from Americana — traced to the framing of the Constitution.

American Federalism unintentionally created a large open market where a set of States were forced to play well with each other, mostly through the Commerce Clause in the Constitution. While most of the world kept creating protectionist barriers to growth, Americans ended up leveraging a large open domestic market to expand. It’s a quintessential illustration of Adam Ferguson’s “the result of human action, but not the execution of any human design”. It wasn’t engineered, but it manifested because of the structural incentives created by US Federalism. With access to a large market and with the right institutional incentives, American enterprise and innovation expanded.

Most human history is riddled with strife, with brief periods of peace. But the American situation was a unique convergence of industrialization with refined institutional design executed at scale, along with some geographical advantage. None of these attributes is unprecedented, but historical accidents rarely allowed such a confluence of multiple favorable factors.

That convergence allowed peace, followed by prosperity. But nothing happens in isolation — interconnected systems influence each other. A positive feedback loop through markets channeled into geopolitics, eventually enabling the global expansion of American firms into foreign markets. Market institutions are wired to politics because one relies on the framework provided by the other. They are essentially co-developed and co-dependent systems. The ideas, the learnings, and the overall state of the market will shape policy through various channels. The reverse is also true. When healthy, they keep each other in check, and the overall system evolves in beneficial ways. Such an American expansion extended several best practices to the rest of the world – including the idea that everyone should play well with each other.

The formation of one of the most consequential republics, their role in World War II, and the reshaping of global institutions through those learnings created a new world order. At its core, this order, with all its flaws, is a rough blueprint of the contractual union of several republics – all retaining their political identity but coexisting without cultural and economic barriers. With the risk of sounding rhetorical, this reflects Alexander Hamilton-James Madison Americana.

Republished at ridersmodel.com

A motorcyclist

Have known Ashutosh for 15 years, we actually worked together in three different companies in late 2000s. Around the same time we also picked up this habit of long distance motorcycle rides. Circa 2009 we did this two week ride from Bangalore to Cochin and back. This was roughly around the time we were let go from Freescale, so there was a lot of time to spare.

First day was mostly through rural inter-state highways until we reached Munnar. After a day of dreary sun, the sight of hills and green valleys were extraordinary. Spent few days exploring those winding roads flanked by tea estates, and dining at local tea shops. Sometimes even going off road, those less travelled routes, at one point we rode over this precarious wooden bridge, with 50 pounds of luggage strapped to the motorcycle. Road-side cardamom tea and snacks were the staple diet for few days.   

At Cochin we stayed at my family home. More tea, but this time some of my relatives and childhood friends were there too. Eventually rode back up north through Alleppey coast and backwaters. En route we discovered this rustic farmhouse for that well deserved sleep, silence and pristine water — a rare experience for urban dwellers riding motorcycles.   

My friends are few, but Ashutosh was one of them. We lost touch over the past few years, definitely wasn’t intentional. Life tends to get in the way. But, whether it’s in depth technical discussions at work, weekend movies, or long distance motorcycling, I remember him as civil and intelligent. A rare balanced individual who always did the right thing. We need more of his caliber, men and women who are aware, rational and wired with a sense of direct fairness.

(Adapted from the memorial shared with his surviving family)

Movement is Life

2020 was the year of social distancing. But a lot of that was on a motorcycle – we all try to make the best out of the situation. There is this 50-mile stretch west of Olympic Forest, which always eluded me, but I managed to explore it this year. In that process, I also experienced a sunset at Ruby Beach – one of those moments that gets engraved in the mind. Stayed at this rather rustic lodge after a six-hour ride through the peninsula. It was well-furnished, lacked WiFi, and had erratic cell coverage — but cheap wine, decent fish n chips, and silence were enough.

There is definitely something inexplicable about riding. There are actual full-length documentaries and books providing explanations, but most of it resembles romanticism. Reasons have to be simpler because it’s just one of those visceral impulses, and in that sense, quite similar to other recreational activities.

But more than the sights, with a motorcycle, we get to absorb the journey, not just the final destination. Such a journey often includes cold showers, gravel, dirt, unstable drivers, texting and driving, and anything else nature might decide to fling. The motivation for enduring all this is the same visceral impulse, to experience the delights and travails of a journey. It’s something our ancestors endured every day before the comforts of modern civilization, but now we get a glimpse of that from riding a well-engineered machine.

In general, there must be something innate that prompts us to journey – it’s likely that exploration aided survival in ancient primitive environments. A popular actor states in an apocalyptic movie — “People who moved survived… Movement is Life”. Needless to say, in the current world, we cannot take it literally. But, in general, movement can enable survival through adaptation. Whether it’s moving for work, learning a new skill, or reading a new theory to solve that problem. All qualify as movement, because they help us adapt in a changing world. Such an adaptation requires some planning, and that planning requires at least some stable factors. What differentiates modern civilization from the primitive past is simply the presence of some stable social factors in an otherwise unpredictable system.

A simple example would be contractual agreements. If you order groceries, there is a high probability that they will be delivered. On top of these simple and stable factors, we construct complex plans that enable adaptation to unexpected events. Essentially, that grocery might help us study for a test, run a marathon, or become a chef. In other words, the law and surrounding institutions provide stability in an unstable world. Not stability of outcomes — we actually don’t know whether we will pass the test, win the marathon, or become a great chef. But the law provides us with tools to pursue elaborate goals constructed on simple, reliable factors. When applied equally to all, along with guns, the law also deserves to be termed ‘the great equalizer’. Equality before law enables the best of the plans, best of the minds, and in that process, the most complex of civilizations to emerge.

“Of all multi-purpose instruments it is probably the one after language which assists the greatest variety of human purposes. It certainly has not been made for any one known purpose but rather has developed because it made people who operated under it more effective in the pursuit of their purposes.”— Friedrich Hayek

In essence, that orderly framework of laws and norms enables an increasingly sophisticated order, where solving problems tests our higher levels of cognition. Here, survival typically does not demand that we embark on a primitive journey or exploration. Instead, our movements are largely metaphorical. Yet it also provides stable, well-engineered machines and recreational tools to relive a glimpse of that primitive past. Like toys fulfilling our last remaining primitive instincts. For all practical purposes, irrelevant and yet adding value to our existence. In a larger sense, the law is integral to life’s events and for realizing our overall vision.

Republished at ridermodel.com